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CADEM releases final voter index

California Democratic Party Releases Final Edition of California VOTER Index
Today, CADEM released the fifth and final edition of the California VOTER Index. The 1,200-sample survey of likely June 2026 voters was conducted May 14-16 online and via phone by EVITARUS – the only Black- and Latina-led full service public opinion research firm in California.

The surveys included each candidate’s official ballot designation and party affiliation. In addition, oversamples were completed for Latino, Black and Asian-American voters to avoid small sample sizes and ensure clarity in data results.

Today’s results show voters are highly engaged with 37% saying they have already voted, and of those who have not yet voted, nearly all have a plan to do so.

The survey also shows Republican Steve Hilton garners 22% support (and continues to outpace Chad Bianco’s 10% support), and Democrat Xavier Becerra holds 21% of the vote and continues to consolidate support of both Democrats and Independents.

Becerra also currently maintains the broadest coalition of any candidate for Governor with 35% of Democrats—a 6-point increase from May 4th—and 19% of Independents.

Today’s topline survey results show:
• Steve Hilton (R) – 22%
• Xavier Becerra (D) – 21%
• Tom Steyer (D) – 15%
• Chad Bianco (R) – 10%
• Katie Porter (D) – 7%
• Matt Mahan (D) – 4%
• Antonio Villaraigosa (D) – 1%
• Tony Thurmond (D) – 1%
• Betty Yee (D) – <1%
• Eric Swalwell (D) – <1%

You can view today’s topline poll results and crosstabs by clicking here.
“My message to California Democrats is simple,” said CADEM Chair Rusty Hicks. “Cast your ballot today and ensure your vote is counted in this important election.”

The California VOTER Index follows an open letter sent by Chair Rusty Hicks to Democratic candidates for Governor, including those who subsequently filed for the Primary Election ballot. CADEM launched the California VOTER Index to help all candidates honestly assess their viable path to win.

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